§ 06 · Tools

Population Projection

Adjust the parameters to explore how a population and its number of children change over successive generations.

Settings7 parameters
Projection12 generations · 396 years
Outcomeover 396 years
Projected population30
Total children born939
Total people died1,909
Peak population (year 0)1,000
How this model works
  • Start population is the number of people alive at generation 0.
  • Parent fraction is the share of the current population that becomes parents. From these parents we form couples and apply kids per couple to get new children in that generation.
  • Generations is how many times this birth/death step is repeated. Each generation advances time by years per generation, which defines the spacing on the X axis.
  • Lifespan removes any cohort once its age reaches the chosen number of years. These removals appear in the deaths line.
  • Death rate per generation removes an additional percentage of the alive population every generation, on top of lifespan-based deaths.